President Obama announced today that the Federal government and Chrysler have developed a Chapter 11 bankruptcy strategy that involves financing by the government and investment by Fiat. The filing was largely caused by the failure of the government and Chrysler to reach a deal with bondholders. A discussion in the New York Times, which can be found here, of how a potential Chapter 11 filing by Chrysler might shake out under the plan includes the intention that Chrysler would exit Chapter 11 in 30 to 60 days. President Obama described the bankruptcy as a "surgical" process.
Given that the Chapter 11 of United Airlines took three years, I do not see how Chrysler emerges with a plan of reorganization in place after only 30 to 60 days no matter how well thought out the plan is. There are simply too many constituents involved--including, among others, unions, retirees, suppliers, and dealers--for the process to go this smoothly. For example, no doubt each of the stakeholders will have serious objections to the modification or rejection of their respective contracts with Chrysler, especially those dealing with pensions and health care. I do not think it is a question that all of the stakeholders will benefit from the filing and will emerge with the new company. But 30 to 60 days is just too optimistic a timeframe for finalizing all of the details that the plan will need to sort out. I would like to hear your thoughts on how quickly Chrysler will emerge from bankruptcy by commenting below.
If Chrysler is to emerge in 30 to 60 days, it will be largely due to Jones Day's Corrine Ball, whose representation of Chrysler is discussed here.
An interesting side note to the announced plan is the inclusion of GM's financing unit, GMAC, as the lender for new Chrysler purchases. GM, on the verge of collapse itself, will now have a stake in Chrysler without spending any cash.